China’s wheat output is expected to see its first drop in 12 years, a report from the Ministry of Agriculture said on Friday [22 April 2016]. Wheat output is forecast to reach 130.1 million tonnes in 2016, down 100,000 tonnes year on year, the first decline since 2004, according to the ministry’s agricultural outlook report (2016-2025)…Full Article: Xinhua Finance Apr 2016

Key Points

  • By 2020, China’s wheat production is expected to reach 131.9 million MTs on a cultivation area totaling 24.02 million hectares. The country’s total wheat consumption is also expected to reach 126.3 million MTs.
  • From 2015 to 2016, China’s Ministry of Agriculture expects its wheat cultivation area to decrease by 20,000 ha, totaling 24.12 million ha.

ChinaAg Comments

  • In 2014, China produced 126.2 million MTs of wheat, with Henan Province accounting for 26% of total output, followed by Shandong Province at 18% of total output.
  • Wheat production in China is mostly situated in the central and eastern parts of the country. In 2011, Henan province produced 31.2 million MTs of wheat or 27% of Chinese output. Shandong province produced 21 million MTs (18% of Chinese output), while Hebei province produced 12.7 million MTs (11% of Chinese output). From 1990 to 2011, wheat production reached a peak of 123 million MTs in 1997. From 1998 to 2003, wheat production decreased an average of 6% annually, with yields never topping 4 MTs per hectare. From 2004 to 2011, wheat output has increased an average of 4% annually and yields have increased from 4.3 MTs per ha to 4.8 MTs per ha.

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