China’s wheat harvest will fall this year for the first time in a decade, US officials warned, as raising their estimate for imports, and signaling that the dent to quality may be far higher than has been thought. China’s wheat harvest, the world’s biggest for a single country, will fall by 2.6 million tons to 118 million tons the US Department of Agriculture’s Beijing bureau said, downgrading its forecast…Full-text article: BlackSeaGrain July 2013

Key point

  • In June 2013, China imported 200,000 tons of French wheat. In July 2013, the country imported 300,000 tons from Australia and 360,000 tons from the USA

ChinaAg Comments

  • Chinese wheat production has been somewhat more unstable than rice or corn production. From 1990 to 2011, wheat production reached a peak of 123 million MTs in 1997. From 1998 to 2003, wheat production decreased an average of 6% annually, with yields never topping 4 MTs per hectare. From 2004 to 2011, wheat output has increased an average of 4% annually and yields have increased from 4.3 MT per ha to 4.8 MTs per ha.
  • From 2009 to 2011, Chinese wheat imports steadily increased from 896,893 MTs to 1.2 million MTs. Imports dramatically increased in 2012, totaling 3.2 million MTs from January to September. China’s top wheat supplier is Australia, followed by the U.S. and Canada. Kazakhstan and the United Kingdom occasionally supply China with small amounts (~50,000 MTs) of wheat.

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